2008
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The End of America First? Stock Index Relative Value Analysis: US vs EU/UK/Japan
No, I am not talking about US administration policy before Biden’s, I am talking about stock index trend between US market vs other 3 major markets (EU, UK, Japan), which has been there since the great recession of 2008 for more than 12 years. I noticed it the first time around 2 years ago, but with latest Coronacrisis and turmoil in bond market lately, this trend might be about to change. Motivation In my previous article explaining the relationship between bond market and stock market by comparing 10-year treasury bond yield (risk-free rate) and
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Why 2020 is Different: FX Risk View on 43 Currency Pairs vs USD
In many risk management practice, especially for those who are dealing with market risk in daily basis, year 2008 must be still lingering in their minds. The great recession of 2008 is so great in effect that it has triggered reforms in many regulatory and accounting standards, in which I mentioned one of them in my last post (Basel 4). The year is also used in stress scenarios of many financial market business, strategy, and even regulatory capital calculation. However, how about 2020? The Great Pandemic of 2020 Year 2020,